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U.S. Wind Installations Decline 15 % in H1 2025, But Upswing Forecast for 2027

U.S. wind installations fell around 15 % in H1 2025, but analysts forecast a rebound in 2027 as tax-incentive deadlines draw near.
Image Source: Vineyard Wind

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Wind-power capacity installations in the United States dropped approximately 15 % during the first half of 2025 compared with the same period in 2024, yet industry projections signal a significant rebound in 2027, according to the US Wind Energy Monitor report released by Wood Mackenzie and the American Clean Power Association.

The dip reflects a mix of factors: supply-chain bottlenecks, project-permitting delays and uncertainty over tax-credit timelines. Although the first quarter of 2025 registered a strong year-on-year increase in capacity additions, order activity for new turbines contracted sharply.

Looking ahead, analysts anticipate a surge in deployment as developers seek to capitalise on upcoming tax-incentive deadlines. The five-year outlook points to a pronounced installation “spike” in or around 2027 as projects accelerate to meet incentive eligibility cut-offs.

Despite near-term softness, the medium-term trajectory remains supported by favorable policy frameworks and a development pipeline of onshore and offshore projects. The industry now must navigate regulatory risk and financing headwinds to translate backlog into actual installations.

Editorial Note:
This article was prepared with the assistance of AI tools to enhance clarity and efficiency.
All information has been reviewed and verified by the HMT News editor.
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